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The associations of lipids and lipid ratios with stroke: A prospective cohort study
Xiaojuan Liu1, Ling Yan2, Fuzhong Xue1
1Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Insights
Lipid ratios like TC/HDL-C in men and triglycerides (TG) in women are linked to higher stroke risk. These markers can help identify individuals at high risk for stroke prevention.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular epidemiology
- Metabolic syndrome research
- Neurology and stroke research
Background:
- Lipids and lipid ratios are established cardiovascular disease risk factors.
- The specific associations and predictive values of lipids for stroke subtypes remain incompletely understood.
- Understanding these relationships is crucial for targeted stroke prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between lipids and lipid ratios with type-specific stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic).
- To compare the predictive capabilities of various lipid parameters for stroke occurrence.
- To determine sex-specific differences in lipid-associated stroke risk.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study including 42,005 Chinese adults aged 20-80, free of stroke at baseline.
- Participants were followed for an average of 3.6 years, with stroke outcomes categorized into ischemic, hemorrhagic, and total stroke.
- Statistical analyses included multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess predictive accuracy (Area Under the Curve - AUC).
Main Results:
- In men, the highest quartile of Total Cholesterol/HDL-Cholesterol (TC/HDL-C) ratio was associated with increased risk of ischemic and total stroke (HRs 1.52 and 1.45, respectively).
- TC/HDL-C demonstrated the highest predictive capacity for ischemic and total stroke in men (AUCs 0.868 and 0.874).
- In women, the highest Triglyceride (TG) quartile was linked to higher ischemic and total stroke risk (HRs 1.99 and 1.85, respectively), with strong predictive values (AUCs 0.850 and 0.861).
- No significant associations were found between lipid variables and hemorrhagic stroke in either sex.
Conclusions:
- The TC/HDL-C ratio is a valuable predictor of stroke risk in men.
- Triglycerides (TG) are a more significant predictor of stroke risk in women.
- These lipid parameters can aid in identifying high-risk individuals for targeted stroke prevention efforts.
Abstract:
Lipids and lipid ratios have been proven to be associated with cardiovascular disease; however, their relationships with stroke and stroke subtypes had not been fully understood. This study aims to assess the associations of lipids and lipid ratios with type-specific stroke and compare their predictive capacities for stroke occurrence. In this prospective cohort study, a total of 42 005 Chinese participants aged 20 to 80 who were free of stroke at baseline were included and selected into subgroups of stroke subtypes (ischemic, hemorrhagic, and total). Total stroke outcome included a combination of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Over an average follow-up of 3.6 years, 781 participants developed stroke (623 ischemic and 158 hemorrhagic). In men, the highest TC/HDL-C quartile was significantly associated with increased ischemic stroke risk (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-2.03) and total stroke risk (HR, 1.45, 95% CI, 1.12-1.87), and TC/HDL-C had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for predicting ischemic (AUC, 0.868) and total stroke (AUC, 0.874). In women, the highest TG quartile was significantly associated with increased risk of ischemic (HR, 1.99, 95% CI, 1.11-3.59) and total stroke (HR, 1.85, 95% CI, 1.07-3.20), with AUCs of 0.850 and 0.861, respectively. No lipid variables were significantly associated with hemorrhagic stroke in both sex. In conclusion, TC/HDL-C ratio may better predict stroke risk in men, whereas TG was more valuable in predicting stroke risk in women. TC/HDL-C and TG may help to discriminate high stroke risk individuals and serve as potential targets for stroke prevention.
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