[Analysis of risk factors of ventricular arrhythmia in patients with Brugada syndrome]

Objective: To investigate the risk factors of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with Brugada syndrome. Methods: Clinical data of 60 Brugada syndrome patients admitted in the department of cardiology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from March 2003 to December 2016 were collected and retrospectively analyzed. The age at diagnosis was (43.2±13.1) years (0.6-83.0 years), 98.3% were males (n=59), and the patients were followed up to (92±41) months (12-169 months). The 12-lead surface electrocardiogram (ECG) recorded at the time of diagnosis and showing the highest type 1 ST elevation, either spontaneously or after provocative drug test, was used for the analysis. Patients were divided into ventricular arrhythmia (VA, n=12) group and non-ventricular arrhythmia (non-VA, n=48) group depending on the presence or absence of clinical VA event. The demographic data and ECG data of the 2 groups were compared, and the independent risk factors of VA events were analyzed by stepwise logistic regression. Results: Incidence of family history of sudden death (7/12 vs. 22.9% (11/48)) and percentage of type 1 ST elevation in the peripheral ECG leads (6/12 vs. 16.67% (8/48)) were significantly higher in VA group than in non-VA group (both P<0.05). Max Tpeak-Tend (Max-Tpe) interval ((144±53)ms vs. (110±16)ms) and dispersion of Tpe ((74±50)ms vs. (43±17)ms) were significantly higher in VA group than in non-VA group (both P<0.05). The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the Max-Tpe interval was 0.693 and Max-Tpe interval ≥140 ms was determined as an optimized cutoff point with increased risk of VA event, which had a sensitivity of 50.0%, a specificity of 98.0%, a positive predictive value of 85.7%, and a negative predictive value of 88.7% for predicting VA event. The ROC curves for the dispersion of Tpe was 0.775 and dispersion of Tpe ≥45 ms was determined as an optimized cutoff point for predicting VA event, which had a sensitivity of 91.7%, a specificity of 64.6%, a positive predictive value of 39.3%, and a negative predictive value of 96.9% for predicting VA event. In multivariate analysis, Max-Tpe interval ≥140 ms (OR=27.53, 95%CI 1.07-706.77, P=0.045) and family history of sudden death (OR=24.63, 95%CI 2.05-295.38, P=0.011) were found to be the independent risk factors of arrhythmic events. Conclusions: Max-Tpe interval ≥140 ms and family history of sudden death are risk factors of VA event in included patients with Brugada syndrome.