Very Early Versus Early Readmissions in General Surgery Patients

Hospital readmission rates are an important quality metric. A readmission very soon after discharge may be related to a different cause than readmissions that occur later in the first 30 d.

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data sets from 2014 to 2015 were used to identify patients undergoing general surgery procedures. Demographics, comorbidities, and morbidity were analyzed. Stepwise regression was used to determine statistical predictors for any readmission. The final model variables were a combination of selected clinical variables and statistically significant variables. Multinomial logistic regression was then used with these variables to develop models for "very early" (days 0-3 after discharge) and "early" (days 4-30) readmissions.

A total of 744,492 patients were included with 5.9% readmitted within 30 d and 1.5% readmitted within 3 d of discharge (26.1% of all readmissions). Significant risk factors for any readmission included ≥3 comorbidities, major surgery (operative time >1 h, length of stay greater >2 d), and American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥3. When examining "very early" readmissions, the greatest risk factor was experiencing a severe complication (≥Grade III) before discharge.

Readmissions within 3 d of discharge constitute a large portion of all 30 d readmissions. The greatest risk factor for "very early" readmission was a severe complication before discharge. Better understanding of the reason for this association is needed to develop effective prevention strategies.