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Published on: September 19, 2019
Repeat missing child reports in Wales
Emma Hutchings1, Kevin D Browne1, Shihning Chou1
1Centre for Forensic and Family Psychology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, England, UK.
Insights
This study identified five key risk factors for repeat child runaways. Identifying these factors can help predict children at high risk, enabling targeted interventions and support.
Area of Science:
- Child Psychology
- Criminology
- Social Work
Background:
- Approximately 306,000 missing person reports in the UK (2012-2013), with 64% involving children.
- Repeat missing incidents constitute 38% of all reports, straining public services.
- Research indicates 70% of missing children voluntarily leave home, often categorized as runaways.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze data on children reported missing due to running away.
- To develop predictive risk factors for repeat missing incidents using logistic regression.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 523 children reported missing to Gwent Police for running away.
- Comparison of 'low risk' (one incident) and 'high risk' (multiple incidents) groups.
- Utilized data from the Gwent Missing Children's Team over one year.
Main Results:
- Identified five significant risk factors distinguishing repeat missing incidents in 73% of cases.
- Key risk factors include being a looked-after child, substance use, suspected sexual exploitation, involvement with Youth Offending Services, and a history of abuse/neglect.
Conclusions:
- The identified risk factors can guide intervention strategies in Gwent.
- Children identified as 'high risk' require more intensive intervention and support to prevent repeat occurrences.
Background:
There were approximately 306,000 reports of missing persons in the UK from 2012 to 2013, 64% involved children. Repeat missing incidents account for approximately 38% of reported missing incidences. Within their research Biehal et al. (2003) identified that 70% of missing children had voluntarily left their home and the majority of these were considered to have 'run away'. Research suggests that there is heavy demand on public services in responding to children that are regularly reported missing.
Objective:
The purpose of this study was to explore data recorded in respect of children reported missing as a result of running away. The main objective of this study was to develop a set of risk factors to predict repeat missing incidences using a logistic regression method.
Participants And Setting:
This study explored the characteristics of 523 children who were reported missing to Gwent (Wales) Police as a result of running away.
Methods:
Using data collected by the Gwent Missing Children's Team in Wales, over a one-year period, this study compared two groups of children: 275 (53%) who were reported missing once ('low risk') and 248 (47%) who were reported more than once ('high risk').
Results:
Results indicated that five significant risk factors identified by logistic regression could distinguish outcome in 73% of cases. The five risk factors were; looked after children, substance use, suspected sexual exploitation, known to Youth Offending Services and a history of abuse/neglect.
Conclusions:
These risk factors could potentially be used in Gwent to guide intervention strategies, with those children identified as 'high risk' of repeat missing incidents requiring more comprehensive intervention and support.
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