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Niche Estimation Above and Below the Species Level.
Adam B Smith1, William Godsoe2, Francisco Rodríguez-Sánchez3
1Center for Conservation and Center for Conservation and Sustainable Development, Missouri Botanical Garden, Saint Louis, MO 63116, USA.
Incorporating evolutionary history improves ecological niche modeling by accounting for shared traits among related species. This approach moves beyond species-level analysis to better understand niche evolution and distribution.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Biogeography
Background:
- Ecological niches are shaped by local adaptation and shared tolerances within related lineages.
- Phylogenetic relationships offer valuable, yet underutilized, insights for ecological niche modeling.
- Current niche modeling often defaults to the species level, overlooking evolutionary processes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review strategies for integrating evolutionary information into ecological niche models.
- To challenge the species-level as the default for niche estimation.
- To promote a reevaluation of how ecological niche and distribution models are assessed.
Main Methods:
- Review of three strategies for incorporating phylogenetic data: lineage splitting, lumping, and partial pooling.
- Analysis of statistical frameworks that account for evolutionary relationships.
- Comparison of species-level modeling with evolution-informed approaches.
Main Results:
- Evolutionary information can enhance the accuracy and biological realism of niche models.
- Different strategies (splitting, lumping, pooling) offer distinct ways to leverage phylogenetic data.
- Modeling at the species level can obscure crucial aspects of niche evolution.
Conclusions:
- Integrating phylogenetic data is essential for robust ecological niche modeling.
- Moving beyond species-level analysis is critical for understanding niche evolution.
- Future progress depends on refining methods for assessing niche versus distribution models.
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