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The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic
1Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada. brauer@math.ubc.ca.
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|December 12, 2018
Abstract:
In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.
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