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A Bayesian approach to identify Bitcoin users.

Péter L Juhász1,2, József Stéger1, Dániel Kondor1,3

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Researchers developed a probabilistic model to link Bitcoin transactions to IP addresses. Experiments revealed hidden user connections, de-anonymizing several thousand Bitcoin clients and their geographical locations.

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Area of Science:

  • Computer Science
  • Cryptography
  • Network Security

Background:

  • Bitcoin offers users a high degree of anonymity through pseudonymous Bitcoin addresses on the public blockchain.
  • Understanding the real-world origins of Bitcoin transactions is crucial for security and regulatory analysis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a mathematical model for linking Bitcoin addresses and transactions to originator IP addresses.
  • To investigate the feasibility of de-anonymizing Bitcoin users through network traffic analysis.

Main Methods:

  • A probabilistic mathematical model was developed to infer IP addresses from Bitcoin network messages.
  • Over one hundred modified Bitcoin clients were deployed across the network for data collection.
  • Transaction propagation messages were monitored and analyzed over a two-month period.

Main Results:

  • The study successfully linked numerous Bitcoin transactions to specific IP addresses.
  • Several thousand Bitcoin clients were identified and their associated transactions de-anonymized.
  • Geographical locations were successfully mapped to identified Bitcoin clients and their transactions.

Conclusions:

  • The developed model effectively compromises Bitcoin's perceived anonymity by linking transactions to IP addresses.
  • Network-level analysis can reveal hidden relationships and de-anonymize users in peer-to-peer systems.
  • This research has significant implications for Bitcoin security, privacy, and forensic investigations.