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Updated: Feb 1, 2026

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Can immune biomarkers predict infections in solid organ transplant recipients? A review of current evidence
Claire Dendle1, William R Mulley2, Stephen Holdsworth2
1Centre for Inflammatory Diseases, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University and Monash Infectious Diseases, Monash Health, Australia.
Abstract:
Despite improvements in graft survival, solid organ transplantation is still associated with considerable infection induced morbidity and mortality. If we were able to show that serious infection risk was associated with excessive suppression of immune capacity, we would be justified in "personalizing" the extent of immunosuppression by carefully monitored reduction to see if we can improve immune compromize without increasing the risk of rejection. Reliable biomarkers are needed to identify this patients at an increased risk of infection. This review focuses on the currently available evidence in solid organ transplant recipients for immune non-pathogen specific biomarkers to predict severe infections with the susceptibility to particular pathogens according to the component of the immune system that is suppressed. This review is categorized into immune biomarkers representative of the humoral, cellular, phagocytic, natural killer cell and complement system. Biomarkers humoral and cellular systems of the that have demonstrated an association with infections include immunoglobulins, lymphocyte number, lymphocyte subsets, intracellular concentrations of adenosine triphosphate in stimulated CD4+ cells and soluble CD30. Biomarkers of the innate immune system that have demonstrated an association with infections include natural killer cell numbers, complement and mannose binding lectin. Emerging evidence shows that quantification of viral nucleic acid (such as Epstein Barr Virus) can act as a biomarker to predict all-cause infections. Studies that show the most promise are those in which several immune biomarkers are assessed in combination. Ongoing research is required to validate non-pathogen specific immune biomarkers in multi-centre studies using standardized study designs.
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