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Secular decrease of wind power potential in India associated with warming in the Indian Ocean.

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Area of Science:

  • Climate Science
  • Renewable Energy
  • Meteorology

Background:

  • India aims for 60 GW of wind power capacity by 2022, but climate change poses a risk.
  • Substantial investments in renewable energy are vulnerable to climate variability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the impact of climate change on wind power potential in India.
  • To analyze trends in wind speed and their correlation with oceanic and atmospheric changes.

Main Methods:

  • Analyzed hourly wind data from 1980-2016 using an assimilated meteorology reanalysis dataset.
  • Utilized surface temperature data to assess Indian Ocean warming.
  • Employed a multivariable linear regression model and numerical sensitivity experiments.

Main Results:

  • Wind power potential shows a secular decline from 1980-2016, especially in western India.
  • Indian Ocean warming correlated with increased high pressure over the ocean.
  • Oceanic warming contributes to subsidence, weakening monsoonal circulation and wind speeds.

Conclusions:

  • Climate change, particularly Indian Ocean warming, may be reducing India's wind power potential.
  • Findings highlight the need to consider climate impacts in renewable energy planning.