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Updated: Jan 31, 2026

Transoral Robotic Total Thyroidectomy and Bilateral Central Regional Lymph Node Dissection for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma
Published on: September 15, 2023
Active Surveillance for T1bN0M0 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma
Toshihiko Sakai1, Iwao Sugitani1,2, Aya Ebina1
11 Division of Head and Neck, Cancer Institute Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Active surveillance is a viable option for selected T1bN0M0 papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients, showing similar progression rates to T1aN0M0 PTC. Late surgery after surveillance had no adverse effects on mortality or morbidity.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Oncology
- Surgical Oncology
Background:
- Active surveillance has demonstrated low progression rates (5-10%) for T1aN0M0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTC).
- The 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines support active surveillance for very low-risk PTC.
- Long-term data on active surveillance for T1b PTC tumors are lacking.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the long-term outcomes of active surveillance for T1bN0M0 PTC.
- To compare the progression rates of T1bN0M0 PTC under active surveillance with those of T1aN0M0 PTC.
- To analyze the outcomes of T1bN0M0 PTC managed with immediate surgery.
Main Methods:
- A prospective trial included 360 T1aN0M0 PTC patients and 61 T1bN0M0 PTC patients who opted for active surveillance.
- 331 T1bN0M0 PTC patients underwent immediate surgery for comparison.
- Outcomes including tumor size increase and lymph node metastasis were monitored over a mean follow-up of 7.4 years.
Main Results:
- After a mean of 7.4 years, 7% of T1bN0M0 tumors and 8% of T1aN0M0 tumors showed size increase, with no significant difference between groups.
- Lymph node metastasis developed in 3% of T1bN0M0 patients and 0.8% of T1aN0M0 patients (p=0.10).
- For T1bN0M0 tumors, weak calcification and rich vascularity predicted size increase, while younger age predicted lymph node metastasis. No recurrence was observed in T1bN0M0 tumors <15mm treated with surgery.
Conclusions:
- Active surveillance is a suitable management option for carefully selected T1bN0M0 PTC patients.
- Progression rates for T1bN0M0 PTC under active surveillance are comparable to those of T1aN0M0 PTC.
- Risk factors for progression in T1bN0M0 PTC include tumor calcification, vascularity, and patient age.
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