A combined quantitative property-property relationship (QPPR) for estimating packaging-food and solid material-water...

The packaging-food partition coefficient (K_pf) is a key parameter to estimate the chemical migration from packaging to food and resulting ingestion exposures. As a particular case of K_pf, the solid material-water partition coefficient (K_mw) is also important in relating the material to the water phase-based skin permeation coefficient to further assess dermal contact exposure to chemicals in solid consumer products. Existing correlations to estimate K_pf or K_mw are applicable for a limited number of chemical-food-packaging or chemical-material combinations without considering the temperature effect. The present study develops a combined quantitative property-property relationship (QPPR) to predict K_pf and K_mw with a wide applicability. We compiled a dataset of 1846 measured K_pf or K_mw for 232 chemicals in 19 consolidated material types. A regression model predicts K_pf or K_mw as a function of chemical's K_ow, food or water's ethanol equivalency, temperature and material type, which shows good fitting performance with R²_adj of 0.93, and has been verified by internal and external validations to be robust, stable and has good predicting ability (R²_ext > 0.80). A generic QPPR is also developed to predict K_pf or K_mw from chemical's K_ow, food or water's ethanol equivalency, and temperature only (R²_adj = 0.90), without the need to assign a specific material type. These QPPRs provide a comprehensive correlation method to estimate K_pf for diverse chemical-food-packaging combinations or to estimate K_mw for materials other than food packaging, which will facilitate high-throughput assessments of consumer exposures to chemicals in food packaging and in other solid materials such as building materials, furniture and toys.