Transplant waitlisting attenuates the association between hemodialysis access type and mortality
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Updated: Jan 31, 2026

A Murine Model of Hemodialysis Access-Related Hand Dysfunction
Published on: May 31, 2022
Courtenay M Holscher1, Satinderjit S Locham2, Christine E Haugen1
1Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Insights
Hemodialysis (HD) access type impacts mortality risk, with arteriovenous fistulas (AVF) and grafts (AVG) generally safer than catheters (HC). Transplant waitlisting reduces the mortality benefit of AVF and AVG compared to HC.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Vascular Surgery
- Public Health
Background:
- Hemodialysis (HD) is a life-sustaining treatment for end-stage renal disease (ESRD).
- The type of vascular access used for HD (arteriovenous fistula (AVF), arteriovenous graft (AVG), or hemodialysis catheter (HC)) significantly impacts patient outcomes.
- Prior research indicates that HC use is associated with higher mortality compared to AVF or AVG.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether kidney transplant waitlisting modifies the association between HD access type and mortality.
- To evaluate the differential impact of HD access on mortality among ESRD patients who are waitlisted versus not waitlisted for transplantation.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study using the US Renal Data System (USRDS).
- Inclusion of patients initiating HD between 2010 and 2015.
- Analysis using Cox regression with an interaction term for HD access type and transplant waitlist status.
Main Results:
- Among patients not on the transplant waitlist, AVF and AVG were associated with significantly lower mortality compared to HC.
- Transplant waitlisting attenuated the mortality benefit of both AVF and AVG compared to HC.
- Among waitlisted patients, AVF showed a modest mortality reduction versus HC, while AVG showed no significant difference.
Conclusions:
- While AVF and AVG are preferable to HC for HD access, their survival benefit is diminished in transplant waitlisted patients.
- Strategies to improve health status and healthcare access for non-waitlisted ESRD patients may reduce HD-associated mortality.
- Optimizing vascular access placement and timely transplantation remain critical for improving ESRD patient survival.
Abstract:
Prior studies have shown that beginning hemodialysis (HD) with a hemodialysis catheter (HC) is associated with worse mortality than with an arteriovenous fistula (AVF) or arteriovenous graft (AVG). We hypothesized that transplant waitlisting would modify the effect of HD access on mortality, given waitlist candidates' more robust health status. Using the US Renal Data System, we studied patients with incident ESRD who initiated HD between 2010 and 2015 with an AVF, AVG, or HC. We used Cox regression including an interaction term for HD access and waitlist status. There were 587,607 patients that initiated HD, of whom 82,379 (14.0%) were waitlisted for transplantation. Only 26,264 (4.5%) were transplanted. Among patients not listed, those with an AVF had a 34% lower mortality compared to HC [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.67] while those with an AVG had a 21% lower mortality compared to HC (aHR 0.79, 95% CI 0.77-0.81). Transplant waitlisting attenuated the association between hemodialysis access type and mortality (interaction p < 0.001 for both AVF and AVG vs. HC). Among patients on the waitlist, those with an AVF had a 12% lower mortality compared to HC (aHR 0.88, 95% CI 0.84-0.93), while those with an AVG had no difference in mortality (aHR 0.95, 95% CI 0.84-1.08). While all patients benefit from AVF or AVG over HC, the benefit was attenuated in waitlisted patients. Efforts to improve health status and access to healthcare for non-waitlisted ESRD patients might decrease HD-associated mortality and improve rates of AVF and AVG placement.
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