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Updated: Jan 31, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Cardiovascular outcome trials of glucose-lowering medications: an update
1Institute for Cellular Medicine - Diabetes, The Medical School, Framlington Place, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE2 4HH, UK. philip.home@newcastle.ac.uk.
Insights
New cardiovascular outcome studies confirm dipeptidylpeptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors are safe, but signal pancreatitis risk. GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) show CV benefits, while SGLT2 inhibitors protect against heart failure and renal decline.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Endocrinology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Recent cardiovascular outcome studies (CVOTs) for glucose-lowering drugs provide updated safety and efficacy data.
- Previous studies established cardiovascular (CV) safety profiles for DPP4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), and SGLT2 inhibitors.
- Understanding the comparative benefits and risks of these drug classes is crucial for managing type 2 diabetes (T2D) in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the results of recent CVOTs for linagliptin, albiglutide, and dapagliflozin.
- To synthesize findings from these new studies with existing data on DPP4 inhibitors, GLP-1RAs, and SGLT2 inhibitors.
- To provide updated guidance on the use of these glucose-lowering agents in patients with T2D and CVD.
Main Methods:
- Review and meta-analysis of published CVOTs, including CARMELINA (linagliptin), Harmony Outcome (albiglutide), and DECLARE-TIMI 58 (dapagliflozin).
- Comparison of CV and safety outcomes across different drug classes: DPP4 inhibitors, GLP-1RAs, and SGLT2 inhibitors.
- Assessment of specific risks such as pancreatitis, heart failure, renal decline, ketoacidosis, and vascular issues.
Main Results:
- Linagliptin (DPP4 inhibitor) confirmed CV safety and no increased heart failure risk; however, DPP4 inhibitors as a class show a pancreatitis signal.
- Albiglutide (GLP-1RA) demonstrated significant reduction in major adverse CV events (MACE) in patients with existing CVD, with no new safety concerns and no pancreatitis signal.
- Dapagliflozin (SGLT2 inhibitor) showed strong protection against heart failure and renal decline, but MACE outcome concordance with other SGLT2 inhibitors is lacking; caution advised for specific patient groups (vascular issues, insulin users).
Conclusions:
- GLP-1 receptor agonists are recommended for all patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.
- SGLT2 inhibitors should be prescribed for patients at high risk of heart failure or with progressive decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).
- Dipeptidylpeptidase-4 inhibitors remain a safe option within the glucose-lowering treatment algorithm.
Abstract:
Three further cardiovascular (CV) outcome studies of glucose-lowering drugs (linagliptin, albiglutide and dapagliflozin) have recently been published, adding to the twelve earlier within-class studies. The linagliptin study (CARMELINA) recruited people with renal disease as well as prior CV events and confirms the overall CV safety (and other safety) of the dipeptidylpeptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors, with no heart failure risk associated with this agent. However, taken together with the findings from two previous studies of DPP4 inhibitors (sitagliptin and saxagliptin), the three DPP4 inhibitor CV outcome trials (CVOTs) have highlighted a safety signal regarding risk of pancreatitis. Like CARMELINA, the albiglutide study (Harmony Outcome) had a very high CV event rate. Despite being a short duration study, albiglutide showed strong superiority for reduction in the major adverse CV events (MACE) composite in people with extant cardiovascular disease (CVD), in line with the earlier studies on the GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) liraglutide and semaglutide. Positive effects can be detected for all these medications from before 12 months and continue for the whole study duration. No new safety issues for albiglutide are identified and the lack of a pancreatitis or a pancreatic cancer signal for this class is now clear. For the sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor class, the DECLARE-TIMI 58 study (of dapagliflozin) clearly indicates strong protection for heart failure in those with CVD, and probably in those with no prior CVD. There is also strong protection against renal decline with dapagliflozin, with similar risk estimates in DECLARE as previously reported for empagliflozin and canagliflozin. However, findings for MACE outcomes with dapagliflozin are not concordant with the empagliflozin and canagliflozin studies, and are not convincingly superior across class and for the longer term. Care is required when prescribing the SGLT2 inhibitor class of medications to people with foot vascular issues or prior amputation, and to insulin users in regard of ketoacidosis. In summary, taking into account the findings from these new studies, it is suggested that a GLP-1RA should be offered to all people with CVD and type 2 diabetes, and SGLT2 inhibitors should be prescribed for those at high risk of heart failure or with progressive decline in eGFR. DPP4 inhibitors are a safe choice within the glucose-lowering stepped algorithm.
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