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Updated: Jan 31, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Heart failure and type 2 diabetes: From cardiovascular outcome trials, with hope
Dario Giugliano1, Juris J Meier2, Katherine Esposito3
1Division of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Advanced Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Campania "L. Vanvitelli", Naples, Italy.
Insights
Sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) significantly reduce heart failure (HF) risk in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients by approximately 30%. This benefit is independent of glycemic control and may be a class effect.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) face an elevated risk of heart failure (HF) even with controlled risk factors.
- Previous cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) have yielded mixed results regarding HF risk reduction with anti-hyperglycemic agents.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of various anti-hyperglycemic drug classes on heart failure (HF) risk in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
- To evaluate the consistency and magnitude of HF risk reduction observed with sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i).
Main Methods:
- Review of twelve completed cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) involving different anti-hyperglycemic drug classes.
- Analysis of heart failure (HF) as a primary or secondary endpoint in these trials.
Main Results:
- Dipeptidyl-peptidase inhibitors (DPP-4i) and GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) showed no significant HF risk reduction, with one exception of increased risk with saxagliptin.
- Sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) demonstrated a consistent and significant reduction in HF hospitalization hazard ratios (27-35%).
- The HF risk reduction with SGLT-2i was independent of baseline HF history, established cardiovascular disease, and glycemic control (HbA1c).
Conclusions:
- Sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) offer a robust, class-effect benefit in reducing heart failure (HF) risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients.
- The cardiovascular safety of newer anti-hyperglycemic drugs is generally reassuring.
- While some agents show benefits in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), these should be interpreted within the context of individual trials.
Abstract:
An excess risk of heart failure (HF) persists in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) despite optimal control of an array of conventional risk factors, including hyperglycaemia. Twelve cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) have been published to date, although none, with the exception of the DECLARE trial with dapagliflozin, has included HF as a primary endpoint. The four trials with dipeptidyl-peptidase inhibitors (DPP-4i) (SAVOR-TIMI 53 with saxagliptin, EXAMINE with alogliptin, TECOS with sitagliptin and CARMELINA with linagliptin) failed to show any significant effect on HF risk in patients with T2D, with the notable exception of saxagliptin which was associated with a 27% increased risk. Five completed CVOTs with the GLP-1 RAs lixisenatide (ELIXA), liraglutide (LEADER), semaglutide (SUSTAIN-6), exenatide once weekly (EXSCEL) and albiglutide (HARMONY) also failed to reveal any significant effect on HF risk. The three trials with sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) (EMPA-REG OUTCOME with empagliflozin, CANVAS with canagliflozin and DECLARE with dapagliflozin) all revealed a robust and significant reduction in the hazard ratios of hospitalization for HF, from 27% to 35%, which remained consistent, significant and of similar magnitude regardless of the presence of a history of HF or established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. There is no association between reductions in HF risk and haemoglobin A1c (A1C) levels, while there is a significant association between reductions in HR for MACE and A1C levels (Spearman's correlation, r = 0.695; P = 0.013). All of the 12 CVOTs completed to date have provided reassurance of the overall cardiovascular safety of the newer anti-hyperglycaemic drugs. At present, the robust, consistent and reproducible reduction of approximately 30% in the risk of HF with SGLT-2i may be considered a class effect. The beneficial effect on MACE outcome observed with the use of some GLP-1RAs and SGLT-2i must be interpreted within the frame of the single trial.
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