Non-invasive prediction of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in Japanese patients with morbid obesity by artificial...

To construct a non-invasive prediction algorithm for predicting non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), we investigated Japanese morbidly obese patients using artificial intelligence with rule extraction technology.

Consecutive patients who required bariatric surgery underwent a liver biopsy during the operation. Standard clinical, anthropometric, biochemical measurements were used as parameters to predict NASH and were analyzed using rule extraction technology. One hundred and two patients, including 79 NASH and 23 non-NASH patients were analyzed in order to create the prediction model, another cohort with 77 patients including 65 NASH and 12 non-NASH patients were analyzed to validate the algorithm.

Alanine aminotransferase, C-reactive protein, homeostasis model assessment insulin resistance, albumin were extracted as predictors of NASH using a recursive-rule extraction algorithm. When we adopted the extracted rules for the validation cohort using a highly accurate rule extraction algorithm, the predictive accuracy was 79.2%. The positive predictive value, negative predictive value, sensitivity and specificity were 88.9%, 35.7%, 86.2% and 41.7%, respectively.

We successfully generated a useful model for predicting NASH in Japanese morbidly obese patients based on their biochemical profile using a rule extraction algorithm.