Optimising infliximab induction dosing for patients with ulcerative colitis

The therapeutic failure of infliximab therapy in patients with ulcerative colitis remains a challenge even 2 decades after its approval. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) has shown value during maintenance therapy, but induction therapy has still not been explored. Patients may be primary nonresponders or underexposed with the standard dosing regimen. We aimed to: (i) develop a population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model; (ii) identify the best exposure metric that predicts mucosal healing; and (iii) build an exposure-response (ER) model to demonstrate model-based dose finding during induction therapy with infliximab.

Data were retrospectively collected from a clinical database. A total of 583 samples, from 204 patients, was used to develop a population pharmacokinetic model to generate exposure metrics for subsequent ER modelling. A subset of 159 patients was used to develop a logistic regression ER model, describing the relationship between infliximab exposure and ordered transitions between Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) 3, 2 and ≤1 (baseline to post-induction).

A 1-compartment population pharmacokinetic model with interindividual and interoccasion variability was found to fit the data best. Covariates influencing exposure were C-reactive protein, albumin, baseline MES, fat-free mass, concomitant corticosteroid use and pancolitis. The cumulative area under the infliximab concentration-time curve until endoscopy (CAUC_endoscopy ) was found to be the best exposure metric for predicting mucosal healing (baseline MES >1 and post-induction MES ≤1). The model predicted that 70% of patients will attain mucosal healing with infliximab administered at days 0, 14 and 42 and a target CAUC_endoscopy of 3752 mg/L*day at day 84.

TDM-based dose individualisation targeting CAUC_endoscopy has the potential to improve the effectiveness of infliximab during induction therapy.