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Interpreting economic complexity
Penny Mealy1,2,3, J Doyne Farmer1,2,4,5,6, Alexander Teytelboym1,2,7
1Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6ED, UK.
Abstract:
Two network measures known as the economic complexity index (ECI) and product complexity index (PCI) have provided important insights into patterns of economic development. We show that the ECI and PCI are equivalent to a spectral clustering algorithm that partitions a similarity graph into two parts. The measures are also closely related to various dimensionality reduction methods, such as diffusion maps and correspondence analysis. Our results shed new light on the ECI's empirical success in explaining cross-country differences in gross domestic product per capita and economic growth, which is often linked to the diversity of country export baskets. In fact, countries with high (low) ECI tend to specialize in high-PCI (low-PCI) products. We also find that the ECI and PCI uncover specialization patterns across U.S. states and U.K. regions.
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