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Generalised framework for multi-criteria method selection: Rule set database and exemplary decision support system
Jarosław Wątróbski1, Jarosław Jankowski2, Paweł Ziemba1
1Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Szczecin, Mickiewicza 64, 71-101, Szczecin, Poland.
This study analyzes 56 Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods to understand how decision problem characteristics and uncertainty impact method selection. It provides rules for uncertainty-aware decision support systems.
Area of Science:
- Operations Research
- Decision Science
- Computer Science
Background:
- Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) encompasses numerous methods for complex decision-making.
- Selecting the appropriate MCDA method is challenging due to diverse problem characteristics and inherent uncertainties.
- A systematic approach is needed to guide MCDA method selection effectively.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of decision-making problem characteristics and uncertainty on the selection of MCDA methods.
- To develop a comprehensive rule set for uncertainty-aware MCDA method selection.
- To provide foundational data and a prototype decision support system for MCDA practitioners.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 56 distinct MCDA methods.
- Evaluation against 9 decision-making problem characteristics across 3 hierarchical levels.
- Simulation of 450,000 possible decision problem descriptions to identify selection rules.
Main Results:
- Identification of specific rules governing MCDA method selection under varying uncertainty levels.
- Development of a comprehensive dataset detailing method-environment interactions.
- Creation of an exemplary decision support system (available at http://www.mcda.it) based on the derived rules.
Conclusions:
- The study provides a robust framework for uncertainty-aware MCDA method selection.
- The generated rules and data facilitate the development of intelligent decision support systems.
- The authors encourage community contribution to extend the provided data and system.
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