Unrealistic Postsurgical Expectation of Independence Predicts Complex Hospital Discharge

Careful discharge planning for older surgical patients can reduce length of stay, readmission, and cost. We hypothesized that patients who overestimate their self-care ability before surgery are more likely to have complex postoperative discharge planning.

The Vulnerable Elders Surgical Pathways and Outcomes Assessment is a brief preoperative assessment that can identify older (age ≥70) patients with multidimensional geriatric risk, defined by all three of the following: (1) physical or cognitive impairment, (2) living alone, and (3) lack of handicap-accessible home. The Vulnerable Elders Surgical Pathways and Outcomes Assessment also asks a novel postoperative self-care ability question, whether patient can independently provide self-care for several hours after discharge. Classifying patients into four groups based on multidimensional geriatric risk (full versus none or partial) and the self-care ability question (yes or no), we hypothesized those with unrealistic postsurgical expectation of independence (UPSI) (both fully at risk and "yes" to self-care ability question) would be at the increased risk for complex discharge planning. Complex discharge planning was defined as prolonged stay because of nonmedical reasons or multiple changes in discharge plans.

In 382 hospitalizations of ≥2 d, 366 had a nonmissing answer to the self-care question; of those 5% had UPSI and 6.3% needed complex discharge planning. The UPSI group was independently associated with greater risk of complex discharge planning compared with the normal group (odds ratio = 4.3 [95% confidence interval, 1.1-16.1]).

Complex discharges were rare, but predictable by preoperative geriatric screening. Patients with UPSI should be targeted for postoperative care planning in advance of surgery.