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Updated: Jan 30, 2026

A Data-Driven Approach to Quantifying Immune States in Sepsis
Published on: February 7, 2025
Using local clinical and microbiological data to develop an institution specific carbapenem-sparing strategy in
Merel M C Lambregts1, Bart J C Hendriks2, Leo G Visser1
11Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 RC, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Developing risk-based strategies for empiric sepsis therapy can optimize the use of reserve antibiotics for Gram-negative pathogens. Targeted approaches significantly reduce the number needed to treat with carbapenems, improving antibiotic stewardship.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Microbiology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Increasing prevalence of Gram-negative pathogens resistant to empiric sepsis therapy.
- Dilemma in escalating standard sepsis therapy to reserve antimicrobial agents.
- Need for localized antibiotic guidelines based on local epidemiology.
Purpose of the Study:
- Develop decision strategies for empiric sepsis therapy using local data.
- Estimate the number needed to treat (NNT) with carbapenem to avoid empiric therapy mismatch.
- Improve antibiotic stewardship by optimizing reserve agent use.
Main Methods:
- Nested case-control study of Gram-negative bacteremia (2013-2016).
- Defined cases as resistant to 2nd generation cephalosporin AND aminoglycoside.
- Analyzed demographic and clinical predictors of resistance.
- Estimated empiric therapy adequacy and NNT for different strategies.
Main Results:
- 486 episodes of Gram-negative bacteremia analyzed.
- 8.8% of episodes showed resistance to standard empiric therapy.
- Hematologic malignancy, prior resistant pathogens, and recent antibiotic use predicted resistance.
- Risk-based strategies achieved 95.2-99.3% empiric therapy adequacy.
- NNT for carbapenem reduced by 82.8% with targeted approaches.
Conclusions:
- Risk-based empiric sepsis therapy can target multi-resistant Gram-negative pathogens.
- Optimizing reserve antimicrobial agent use is crucial for stewardship.
- Structured evaluation of antimicrobial consumption and adequacy is essential for strategy selection.
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