[Risk factors for recurrent thrombosis in patients with polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia]

Objective: To analyze the clinical characteristics of recurrent thrombosis in patients with polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET) to probe the risk factors for recurrent thrombosis in patients with ET and PV. Methods: The clinical data of 104 ET and PV patients with thrombosis in Beijing Anzhen Hospital from February 2001 to November 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Thrombosis reoccurred in 38 patients. Statistical analyses were performed by multivariate logistic regression for risk factors of recurrent thrombosis in ET and PV patients. Results: Recurrent thrombosis occurred in 36.5% of patients with ET/PV, the total incidence rate in ET and PV patients was 9.8% patient-years, 12.3% patient-years and 5.7% patient-years in ET and PV respectively. There were a total of 56 re-thrombotic events, and 42.1% of events occurred within 1 year after the first thrombosis. The arterial re-thrombosis was 97.4% (most of acute coronary syndrome, ACS), and venous events was 2.6%. The most common cases of re-thrombosis were ACS in ET patients (18 cases, 64.3%), and cerebral infarction in PV patients (7 cases, 70.0%). The number of PV patients with 2 times or more re-thrombotic events was significantly higher than that of ET patients (9 cases, 90.0% vs 7 cases, 25.0%). The proportion of the patients with WBC>12.5×10(9)/L or Hct>45%, and thrombosis history or splenomegaly and high risk thrombotic events were higher than those with a single thrombus (52.6% vs 31.8%; 50.0% vs 30.0%; 86.8% vs 13.6%; 84.2% vs 33.3%; 52.6% vs 15.2%; 94.7% vs 53.0%; P values were 0.036,0.046, <0.001, <0.001, <0.001 and <0.001, respectively). Logistic regression analysis showed that thrombosis history (OR=13.697, P=0.025), splenomegaly (OR=13.301, P=0.034) and high risk stratification of thrombotic events (OR=44.618, P=0.025) were independent risk factors for recurrent thrombotic events. Conclusions: ET and PV patients had a higher risk of re-thrombosis. The incidence of re-thrombosis in ET was higher than in PV, ACS was more common cases of re-thrombotic events; but PV patients were more susceptible to multiple re-thromboses than ET ones, also with more cerebral infarction. Previous thrombus history, splenomegaly and high risk stratification of thrombotic events were independent risk predictors for re-thrombosis of ET and PV patients.