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Modeling Emotions Associated With Novelty at Variable Uncertainty Levels: A Bayesian Approach.

Hideyoshi Yanagisawa1, Oto Kawamata1, Kazutaka Ueda2

  • 1Design Engineering Laboratory, Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

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Novelty acceptance is linked to emotional state. A new Bayesian model predicts emotions using information gain, successfully validated by an experiment on novelty and arousal crossover effects.

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Science
  • Neuroscience
  • Psychology

Background:

  • Novelty acceptance is influenced by emotional state.
  • Predicting emotions elicited by novel events is complex.
  • Existing models often lack a quantitative approach to novelty's emotional impact.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a novel mathematical model for predicting emotions elicited by novelty.
  • To model arousal and valence dimensions of emotion.
  • To investigate the role of uncertainty and prediction error in emotional responses to novelty.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a Bayesian model using Kullback-Leibler divergence (information gain) to represent arousal.
  • Formalized valence based on Berlyne's hedonic function, incorporating reward and aversion systems.
  • Derived information gain as a function of prediction errors, uncertainty, and noise.
  • Conducted an experiment using videos of percussion instruments to test the model's predictions.

Main Results:

  • The model predicted an 'arousal crossover effect' where uncertainty's impact on information gain varies with prediction error magnitude.
  • Experimental results, measuring arousal via P300 amplitudes and surprise reports, supported the arousal crossover effect.
  • Bayesian information gain was validated as a measure of emotional arousal, decomposable into uncertainty and prediction errors.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed Bayesian information gain model accurately predicts emotional arousal in response to novelty.
  • The arousal crossover effect demonstrates a nuanced interaction between uncertainty and prediction error in emotional responses.
  • This model offers a framework for understanding and potentially predicting the acceptance of novelty.