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Published on: March 23, 2018
Transient hyperglycemia in childhood: identification of a subgroup with imminent diabetes mellitus
R D Herskowitz1, J I Wolfsdorf, A T Ricker
1Joslin Diabetes Center, Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts 02215.
Insights
Transient hyperglycemia in children can signal early Type 1 diabetes (T1D). Immunological markers and impaired insulin secretion during glucose tests strongly predict T1D development, aiding early intervention.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Pediatrics
- Immunology
Background:
- Transient hyperglycemia is an early indicator of Insulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus (IDDM).
- Predicting IDDM development in children with hyperglycemia is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of various tests for impending IDDM in children with transient hyperglycemia.
- To identify the most reliable markers for predicting IDDM development.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 30 children with transient hyperglycemia.
- Assessment included oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT), intravenous glucose tolerance tests (IVGTT) measuring "K rate" and first-phase insulin secretion, and immunological markers (islet cell antibodies, insulin autoantibodies).
Main Results:
- 27% of children developed IDDM within 10 months.
- Immunological abnormalities (islet cell antibodies/insulin autoantibodies) had the highest positive predictive value.
- Impaired first-phase insulin secretion during IVGTT showed the highest negative predictive value and overall accuracy.
- Oral glucose tolerance tests were less accurate predictors.
Conclusions:
- Immunological markers and impaired insulin secretion are strong predictors of IDDM in children with transient hyperglycemia.
- First-phase insulin secretion during IVGTT is the most accurate predictor for identifying children at high risk for IDDM.
Abstract:
Transient hyperglycemia may represent the earliest manifestation of IDDM. In a series of 30 children referred for transient hyperglycemia, 8/30 (27%) developed IDDM within 10 months of their initial evaluation. Three children with detectable cytoplasmic islet cell antibodies (ICA) and/or positive insulin autoantibodies (CIAA) all developed IDDM, compared to 21% of ICA negative children and 13% who were CIAA negative. Of those with impaired glucose tolerance, 6/11 (55%) developed IDDM, as did 1/14 with normal OGTT. Of the children with a low "K rate" on IVGTT, 75% developed IDDM, compared to 1/13 with a normal "K rate". All four children (100%) whose first phase (1' + 3') insulin secretion never exceeded the first percentile developed IDDM within nine months, while no child with first phase insulin secretion above the first percentile (0/16) developed IDDM during 19 +/- 9 months (mean +/- SD) of follow-up. Thus, in our experience the oral glucose tolerance test is a less accurate predictor of impending IDDM; immunological abnormalities have the highest positive predictive value, while the first phase insulin secretion during an intravenous glucose tolerance test has the highest negative predictive value and the greatest overall accuracy of prediction.
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