Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 29, 2026

ADSC-sheet Transplantation to Prevent Stricture after Extended Esophageal Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection
Published on: February 10, 2017
Predictive criteria of response to endoscopic treatment for severe strictures in primary sclerosing cholangitis
Nora Cazzagon1, Olivier Chazouillères2, Christophe Corpechot2
1Reference center for inflammatory biliary disease and autoimmune hepatitis (MIVB), Saint-Antoine Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, AP-HP, 75012 Paris, France; Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology (DiSCOG), University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Background:
The aim of this study was to identify predictive criteria of improvement after endoscopic treatment (ET) for severe strictures of extrahepatic bile ducts in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC).
Methods:
PSC patients who had at least one ET for severe stricture were included. Features of magnetic resonance cholangiography (MRC), performed before ET, were evaluated according to a standard model of interpretation, and a radiologic qualitative score of probability of improvement after ET was built. Score 3 (likely) was given in case of severe common bile duct (CBD) stricture with marked dilatation without severe strictures of upstream ducts, Score 1 (unlikely) was given in case of severe multiple strictures of secondary ducts without biliary dilatation and Score 2 (undeterminate) was given to an intermediate pattern. The response to ET was assessed at 2 months (T2-response) from the last ET and at 12 months (T12-response) from inclusion.
Results:
Thirty-one patients were included. All had severe stricture (reduction ≥ 75% of the diameter) of CBD and 50% had severe stricture of right and/or left hepatic duct (LHD) at MRC before ET. According to the qualitative score, 16 patients had Score 3, 7 had Score 1 and 9 had Score 2. T12-response was obtained in 50% of patients. In univariate analysis, short LHD strictures, bilirubin, transaminases, pruritus and Score 3 were associated with T12-response. Increased bilirubin and transaminases were independent predictive factors of T12-response (HR 24, 95% CI: 3.4-170.4, P = 0.001 and 23.8, 95% CI: 3.4-169.4, P = 0.002, respectively).
Conclusion:
MRC, together with biochemical features, may contribute to identify the PSC patients who are likely to be improved after ET for severe strictures of extrahepatic bile ducts.
More Related Videos
Related Concept Videos
Esophageal Strictures-I: Introduction
Etiology
The primary cause of esophageal strictures is long-standing gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), accounting for about 70 to 80% of adult cases. Chronic acid reflux can lead to injury and scarring of the esophageal lining, culminating in...
Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - II
Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - I
Predicting Molecular Geometry
Esophageal Strictures-II: Clinical Features and Management
Healthcare providers should gather a comprehensive medical history and conduct a physical examination for diagnosis. If esophageal stricture is...
Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.

