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Updated: Jan 29, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
The nested enzyme-within-enterocyte (NEWE) turnover model for predicting dynamic drug and disease effects on the gut
Adam S Darwich1, Howard J Burt2, Amin Rostami-Hodjegan3
1Centre for Applied Pharmacokinetic Research, School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Abstract:
Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models provide a framework for in vitro-in vivo extrapolation of metabolic drug clearance. Many of the concepts in PBPK can have consequential impact on more mechanistic systems pharmacology models. In the gut wall, turnover of enzymes and enterocytes are typically lumped into one rate constant that describes the time dependent enzyme activity. This assumption may influence predictability of any sustained and dynamic effects such as mechanism-based inhibition (MBI), particularly when considering translation from healthy to gut disease. A novel multi-level systems PBPK model was developed. This model comprised a 'nested enzyme-within enterocyte' (NEWE) turnover model to describe levels of drug-metabolising enzymes. The ability of the model to predict gut metabolism following MBI and gut disease was investigated and compared to the conventional modelling approach. For MBI, the default NEWE model performed comparably to the conventional model. However, when drug-specific spatial crypt-villous absorption was considered, up to approximately 50% lower impact of MBI was simulated for substrates highly metabolised by cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A4, interacting with potent inhibitors. Further, the model showed potential in predicting the disease effect of gastrointestinal mucositis and untreated coeliac disease when compared to indirect clinical pharmacokinetic parameters. Considering the added complexity of the NEWE model, it does not provide an attractive solution for improving upon MBI predictions in healthy individuals. However, nesting turnover may enable extrapolation to gut disease-drug interactions. The principle detailed herein may be useful for modelling drug interactions with cellular targets where turnover is significant enough to affect this process.
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