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Published on: January 6, 2023
Effects of cold temperature and snowfall on stroke mortality: A case-crossover analysis
Sara Polcaro-Pichet1, Tom Kosatsky2, Brian J Potter3
1Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Institut national de santé publique du Québec, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Cold temperatures and snowfall independently increase the risk of fatal hemorrhagic stroke in men. These weather factors do not appear to affect ischemic stroke mortality or stroke risk in women.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Investigating the independent association of cold temperature and snowfall with stroke mortality.
- Examining differential effects on hemorrhagic versus ischemic stroke subtypes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if cold weather and snowfall are independent risk factors for stroke mortality.
- To assess if these environmental factors impact hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke differently.
Main Methods:
- A case-crossover study design was employed, analyzing 13,201 stroke deaths in Quebec, Canada (1981-2015).
- Weather data (minimum temperature, snowfall duration) were compared between stroke days and control days.
- Analyses were adjusted for barometric pressure and relative humidity to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Main Results:
- Cold temperature and snowfall were independently associated with increased odds of hemorrhagic stroke mortality in men.
- A temperature of -20°C increased hemorrhagic stroke death odds by 1.17 (95% CI 1.04-1.32) compared to 0°C.
- 12 hours of snowfall increased hemorrhagic stroke death odds by 1.12 (95% CI 1.00-1.24) compared to no snowfall; no association was found in women or for ischemic stroke.
Conclusions:
- Cold temperature and snowfall are identified as independent risk factors for fatal hemorrhagic stroke specifically in men.
- Preventive strategies for fatal hemorrhagic stroke during winter months should consider both cold exposure and snowfall in men.
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