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Area of Science:

  • Veterinary epidemiology
  • Animal health surveillance
  • Syndromic surveillance

Background:

  • The Risk Identification Unit (RIU) of the Center for Epidemiology and Animal Health (CEAH) is enhancing national livestock health surveillance.
  • Initiatives include expanding monitored species, health issues, and data sources.
  • A new system uses weekly syndromic counts of laboratory test orders.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To build a robust syndromic surveillance system for livestock using laboratory test data.
  • To refine syndrome groups and data filtering to minimize alerting bias.
  • To identify optimal statistical detection methods for specific laboratory data characteristics.

Main Methods:

  • Analyzed 12 years of equine laboratory test records.
  • Developed syndrome groups based on veterinary expertise and literature, refined through data analysis and consultation.
  • Excluded regulatory, teaching hospital, and research tests.
  • Evaluated various statistical alerting algorithms (e.g., C2, CuSUM, EWMA) using a testbed simulation.

Main Results:

  • Established seven equine syndrome groups: abortion/reproductive, diarrhea/GI, necropsy, neurological, respiratory, systemic fungal, and tickborne.
  • Data transformation and filtering significantly reduced test counts (e.g., >80% for diarrhea/GI).
  • Derived optimal methods, parameters, and thresholds for each syndrome based on performance requirements.

Conclusions:

  • Understanding laboratory data sources and workflow is critical for accurate syndrome surveillance.
  • Syndrome group formation requires careful consideration of veterinary expertise and laboratory processes.
  • Tailored statistical methods and parameters are essential for effective disease monitoring.