[A prognostic scoring scale for adult patients with supratentorial primary anaplastic gliomas]

Objective: This study explored the prognostic factors of patients with supratentorial anaplastic gliomas and tried to propose a prognostic scoring scale with aim to provide theoretical reference for clinical treatment. Methods: The clinical data of 198 patients surgically treated for primary anaplastic glioma in Henan Provincial People's Hospital between Jan 2009 and Jan 2018 were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify prognostic factors with methods of Kaplan-Meier plot and Cox proportional hazard model, respectively. Based on the prognostic factors, a scoring scale was thereby proposed. Results: Univariate analysis results showed age, tumor location, tumor diameter, preoperative KPS, extent of resection, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, pathology with oligodendroglial components, 1p/19q, IDH, MGMT were significantly correlated with survival (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis results showed age ≥45 years old, tumor diameter ≥6 cm, preoperative KPS<70, without radiotherapy, 1p/19q intact, MGMT promoter unmethylation were independent prognostic risk factors (P<0.05). Patients were scored with 0-6 points based on the formulation that each independent prognostic risk factor was assigned with 1 point. Then patients were further grouped according to the score. Those with less than 2 points were low-risk group, equal to 2 points were medium-risk group, equal to 3 points were high-risk group, more than or equal to 4 points were extremely high-risk group. There were significant differences in survival between the different groups (P<0.000 1). Conclusions: The higher score, the shorter survival time. This prognostic scoring scale can provide a theoretical basis for the prognosis estimation of patients with anaplastic glioma and help to carry out personalized clinical treatment.