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Updated: Jan 28, 2026

Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems
Published on: June 30, 2020
Cascading impacts of large-carnivore extirpation in an African ecosystem
Justine L Atkins1, Ryan A Long2, Johan Pansu3,4,5
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. jlatkins@princeton.edu rpringle@princeton.edu.
Abstract:
Populations of the world's largest carnivores are declining and now occupy mere fractions of their historical ranges. Theory predicts that when apex predators disappear, large herbivores become less fearful, occupy new habitats, and modify those habitats by eating new food plants. Yet experimental support for this prediction has been difficult to obtain in large-mammal systems. After the extirpation of leopards and African wild dogs from Mozambique's Gorongosa National Park, forest-dwelling antelopes [bushbuck (Tragelaphus sylvaticus)] expanded into treeless floodplains, where they consumed novel diets and suppressed a common food plant [waterwort (Bergia mossambicensis)]. By experimentally simulating predation risk, we demonstrate that this behavior was reversible. Thus, whereas anthropogenic predator extinction disrupted a trophic cascade by enabling rapid differentiation of prey behavior, carnivore restoration may just as rapidly reestablish that cascade.
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