Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor Predicts Cardiovascular Events, Kidney Function Decline, and...

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an important inflammatory biomarker implicated in endothelial and podocyte dysfunction. However, suPAR's predictive qualities for complications in type 1 diabetes have yet to be determined. We investigated the prognostic value of suPAR for the development of cardiovascular events, decline in renal function, and mortality in patients with type 1 diabetes.

We included 667 patients with type 1 diabetes with various degrees of albuminuria in a prospective study. End points were cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary or peripheral arterial interventions), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥30%, progression from lower to higher albuminuric state, development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and mortality. Follow-up was 5.2-6.2 years. Results were adjusted for known risk factors. Hazard ratios (HRs) are presented per doubling of suPAR with 95% CI. Relative integrated discrimination improvement (rIDI) was calculated.

Quantification of suPAR was available in all participants; median (interquartile range) was 3.4 ng/mL (2.7-4.5). The adjusted HR (95% CI) for cardiovascular events (n = 94), progression in albuminuria (n = 36), eGFR decline (n = 93), ESRD (n = 23), and mortality (n = 58) were 3.13 (1.96-5.45, P < 0.001), 1.27 (0.51-3.19, P = 0.61), 2.93 (1.68-5.11, P < 0.001), 2.82 (0.73-11.9, P = 0.13), and 4.13 (1.96-8.69, P < 0.001), respectively. rIDI was significant for cardiovascular events (22.6%, P < 0.001), eGFR decline (14.4%, P < 0.001), and mortality (23.9%, P < 0.001).

In patients with type 1 diabetes and a broad range of albuminuria, a higher level of suPAR is a significant and independent risk factor for cardiovascular events, decline in eGFR ≥30%, and mortality. In addition, suPAR contributes significantly to discrimination for the end points.