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Climate change, demographic pressures and global sustainability
1School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, United States.
Economics and Human Biology
|March 26, 2019
Summary
Addressing climate change requires integrated policies for agriculture, health, and migration. Population growth and fertility rates significantly impact sustainable development and drive educated migration, highlighting the need for global sustainability strategies.
Area of Science:
- Environmental science and policy
- Demography and population studies
- Sustainable development
Background:
- Rapid population growth in developing nations challenges the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals.
- Unwanted fertility in India is a significant concern impacting population dynamics.
- Climate change necessitates broader policy approaches, particularly concerning agriculture, population health, and migration.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the relationship between water resource availability and climate change impacts in India.
- To investigate the drivers of migration, focusing on the highly educated, in relation to fertility rates.
- To discuss the implications of empirical findings for enhancing global sustainability.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of average well depths and terrestrial water storage anomalies (using GRACE satellite data) in India (2002-2016).
- Application of dynamic random effects models to assess water storage and well depth data.
- Analysis of migration patterns of the highly educated from 39 countries to OECD countries (2000-2010) using dynamic random effects models.
Main Results:
- Significant associations were found between total fertility rates and higher migration rates among the highly educated.
- Dynamic random effects models provided insights into water resource variations and migration trends.
- Evidence on unwanted fertility in India underscores population-related constraints on development.
Conclusions:
- Integrated policy frameworks are crucial for mitigating climate change effects on agriculture, health, and migration.
- Fertility rates and population growth are key factors influencing migration and sustainable development.
- Empirical evidence supports the need for enhanced global sustainability strategies considering demographic and environmental interdependencies.
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