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Published on: June 10, 2025
Risk Factors for Acute Heart Failure and Impact on In-Hospital Mortality after Stroke
Shogo Shima1, Masaki Shinoda2, Osamu Takahashi3
1Department of Neurosurgery, St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Insights
Acute heart failure is a serious complication after stroke, affecting 5% of patients. Identifying high-risk individuals with atrial fibrillation, cardiac history, low GCS, or low albumin can improve outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Stroke patients are at risk of developing cardiac events in the acute phase.
- These cardiac events can be fatal, impacting patient prognosis.
- Understanding and predicting acute heart failure post-stroke is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the incidence of acute heart failure following stroke onset.
- To identify risk factors associated with acute heart failure after stroke.
- To establish a predictive model for stratifying high-risk patients.
Main Methods:
- A single-center observational study involving 532 stroke patients from January 2013 to December 2014.
- Analysis of baseline characteristics and clinical findings on admission.
- Multivariable logistic regression to assess risk factors and a risk score for poor outcomes.
Main Results:
- 5% (27/532) of stroke patients developed acute heart failure within 7 days of admission.
- Key risk factors identified: atrial fibrillation (OR 5.9), cardiac disease history (OR 3.6), Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 8 (OR 4.5), and serum albumin < 35 g/L (OR 3.4).
- In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients with poststroke heart failure (37% vs. 9.9%), with higher predictive scores correlating with increased mortality.
Conclusions:
- Acute heart failure is a foreseeable and potentially preventable complication in the early stages of stroke.
- Stratifying and closely monitoring high-risk patients can mitigate poor outcomes.
- Early identification and management of post-stroke heart failure are essential for improving survival rates.
Background:
In the acute phase of stroke, some patients develop cardiac events. It could be fatal in their clinical courses. We aimed to investigate acute heart failure after stroke onset and stratify the patients by establishing a predictive model.
Methods:
This single-center, observational study included stroke patients diagnosed at the Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery from January 2013 to December 2014. Baseline characteristics and clinical findings on admission were analyzed for acute heart failure after stroke. We assessed risk factors using multivariable logistic regression, and set a risk score to evaluate the association with poor outcomes.
Results:
Of 532 stroke patients, 27 (5%) developed acute heart failure within the 7 days after admission. We identified 4 risk factors for acute heart failure after stroke: atrial fibrillation (odds ratio [OR], 5.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.5-14.0; P < .001), history of cardiac disease (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.3-9.1; P = .01), Glasgow Coma Scale score ≤ 8 (OR, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.7-12.0; P = .003), and serum albumin < 35 g/L (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.4-8.4; P = .008). Furthermore in-hospital mortality rate was higher (37% [n = 10/27] versus 9.9% [n = 50/505], P = .001) in patients with poststroke heart failure. Higher predictive scores were associated with increased mortality.
Conclusions:
Acute heart failure can develop in the early phase of stroke and lead to poor outcomes. It is foreseeable and preventable by stratifying and monitoring high-risk patients.
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