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Underlying socio-political processes behind the 2016 US election
John Bryden1,2, Eric Silverman3
1School of Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, London, United Kingdom.
Plos One
|April 10, 2019
Summary
A new faction of Trump supporters significantly influenced the Republican Party (GOP) during the 2016 election, demonstrating novel methods for tracking societal group evolution and political shifts.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Sociology
- Network Science
Background:
- Recent years have seen significant populist shifts in major political parties.
- Understanding the societal dynamics behind these political changes is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the social dynamics behind the 2016 US Presidential election.
- To identify and track the evolution of key right-wing groups on Twitter.
Main Methods:
- Utilized network science methods to study social dynamics.
- Analyzed Twitter data to identify key political groups and their follower behavior.
- Tracked the growth and influence of different factions within the US right-wing.
Main Results:
- A new external faction of Trump supporters heavily influenced the traditional Republican Party (GOP) base.
- This new group dominated the GOP in terms of new followers and endorsements on Twitter.
- The Alt-right group grew exponentially but remained socially isolated.
- Detected a surprisingly low number of bot accounts and foreign intervention within Trump-supporting groups.
Conclusions:
- The study demonstrates a powerful method for tracking the evolution of societal groups.
- Revealed complex social processes driving recent political shifts.
- Challenged mainstream views on the composition of Trump-supporting online communities.
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