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Estimating Joint Health Condition Utility Values.

Alexander J Thompson1, Matthew Sutton2, Katherine Payne1

  • 1Manchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research & Primary Care, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

Value in Health : the Journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research
|April 13, 2019
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Predicting health state utility values (HSUVs) for multiple conditions is challenging. The multiplicative method works for two conditions, but the linear index shows promise for complex cases.

Keywords:
EQ-5Dadditivelinear indexminimummultimorbiditymultiple conditionsmultiplicativeutility

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Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Biostatistics
  • Patient-Reported Outcomes

Background:

  • Accurate health state utility values (HSUVs) are crucial for health economic evaluations.
  • Estimating HSUVs for individuals with multiple chronic conditions presents significant challenges.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate different statistical methods for predicting HSUVs in individuals with up to four co-existing health conditions.
  • To compare the performance of nonparametric and parametric models in estimating joint health condition (JHC) utility values.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized person-level data from the General Practice Patient Survey in England.
  • Assessed four nonparametric methods (additive, multiplicative, minimum, adjusted decrement estimator) and one parametric method (linear index).
  • Compared predicted and actual utility scores using root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean error.

Main Results:

  • The multiplicative nonparametric approach demonstrated the best precision and lowest bias for two JHCs.
  • Nonparametric methods showed biased results for three or four JHCs.
  • The linear index parametric model generally yielded unbiased results with high precision.

Conclusions:

  • The multiplicative approach is suitable for estimating HSUVs for two JHCs.
  • Nonparametric methods are not recommended for more than two JHCs.
  • The linear index shows potential but requires external validation before routine use.