Predictors of Early and Late Mortality in Older Kidney Transplant Recipients

Older kidney patients with chronic kidney disease benefit significantly from kidney transplantation. However, these older transplant recipients have greater mortality after transplantation than younger transplant recipients. Understanding the impact of comorbidities on post-transplant mortality can improve risk stratification and patient selection.

A single-center analysis of 3105 kidney transplant recipients was performed over a 12-year period. Comorbidities associated with death were evaluated in older and younger transplant recipients.

The 2 most important factors associated with increased mortality in the first 100 days after transplant were recipient age ≥60 and receipt of deceased donor organs (adjusted odds ratios, 3.29 and 5.80, respectively), with no statistically significant impact of recipient comorbidities. In the later post-transplant period (after the first 100 days), recipient age ≥60 and receipt of deceased donor organs (adjusted hazard ratios [HR] of 2.14 and 2.29, respectively) remained predictors of mortality. We also found that donor age ≥60 and the recipient having cardiovascular disease and diabetes were independent predictors of increased mortality. There was a statistically significant interaction between diabetes and heart disease and recipient age ≥60, with a lesser impact on late mortality in older patients compared to younger patients.

This analysis suggests that comorbidities have a larger impact later after transplantation, with less effect on older recipients. These observations suggest that certain comorbid conditions should be evaluated differently in older patients compared to younger ones.