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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jan 26, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data

Published on: October 23, 2020

Nomogram for predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula.

Yunghun You¹, In W Han², Dong W Choi²

¹Department of Surgery, Konkuk University Choongju Hospital, Konkuk University School of Medicine, 6, Gwangmyeong 1-gil, Chungju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, 27376, South Korea.

HPB : the Official Journal of the International Hepato Pancreato Biliary Association

|April 16, 2019

Summary

A new nomogram predicts postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) risk after pancreaticoduodenectomy. This tool identifies individual risk factors, aiding personalized treatment strategies for patients undergoing this major surgery.

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Technical Aspects of the Mouse Aortocaval Fistula

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Published on: July 11, 2013

Area of Science:

Oncology
Gastroenterology
Surgical Research

Background:

Previous risk prediction tools for postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) used scoring systems.
No prior study developed a nomogram based on individual risk factors for POPF.

Purpose of the Study:

To evaluate individual risk factors for POPF.
To propose a nomogram for predicting POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Main Methods:

Retrospective review of 1771 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (2007-2016).
Multivariate logistic regression identified independent predictors (p < 0.05).
Internal validation used repeated cross-validation.

Main Results:

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) occurred in 12.5% of patients (222/1771).
Independent predictors included sex, BMI, ASA score, preoperative albumin, pancreatic duct diameter, and tumor location.
The developed nomogram showed an AUC of 0.709 (train) and 0.652 (test).

Conclusions:

A novel nomogram for POPF prediction was successfully developed.
This tool can assist in identifying high-risk patients for intensified therapy.
The nomogram supports the establishment of customized treatment strategies.