Use of clinical algorithms and rapid influenza testing to manage influenza-like illness: a cost-effectiveness

L Gayani Tillekeratne1,2, Champica Bodinayake3, Ajith Nagahawatte3

  • 1School of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

BMJ Global Health
|April 19, 2019
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

In Sri Lanka, clinical prediction tools and targeted rapid influenza testing can reduce antibiotic prescriptions for influenza-like illness (ILI). These strategies may be cost-saving when considering the societal cost of antimicrobial resistance.

Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Infectious Disease Management
  • Antimicrobial Stewardship

Background:

  • Acute respiratory infections frequently lead to antibiotic overuse.
  • Previous research indicated that providing rapid influenza test results reduced antibiotic prescriptions among Sri Lankan clinicians.
  • The economic implications of various influenza diagnostic approaches remained undetermined.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different influenza diagnostic strategies in managing outpatients with influenza-like illness (ILI) in Sri Lanka.
  • To compare the cost per antibiotic prescription avoided for clinical prediction tools, targeted rapid influenza testing, and universal rapid influenza testing against standard care.
  • To assess these costs in relation to the economic burden of antimicrobial resistance.

Main Methods:

  • Cost-effectiveness analysis comparing three strategies (clinical prediction tool, targeted testing, universal testing) with standard care for ILI management.
  • Calculation of incremental cost per antibiotic prescription avoided.
  • Comparison with literature-based estimates of antimicrobial resistance costs per prescription.

Main Results:

  • Standard care was the least expensive strategy across sensitivity analyses.
  • Clinical prediction tools demonstrated an incremental cost of US$3.0 per antibiotic prescription avoided, below the estimated antimicrobial resistance cost of US$12.5.
  • Targeted and universal rapid influenza testing incurred higher costs per avoided prescription (US$49.1 and US$138.3, respectively), with specific test price thresholds for cost-effectiveness.

Conclusions:

  • Clinical prediction tools represent a potentially cost-saving strategy for ILI management in Sri Lanka.
  • Targeted rapid influenza testing can be cost-saving if test prices are sufficiently low (
  • Both strategies, when factoring in the societal cost of antimicrobial resistance, offer economic benefits.

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