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The Cholecystectomy As A Day Case (CAAD) Score: A Validated Score of Preoperative Predictors of Successful Day-Case
A M El-Sharkawy1, N Tewari1, R S Vohra2
1Trent Oesophago-Gastric Unit, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham City Hospital, Hucknall Road, Nottingham, NG5 1PB, UK.
Insights
A new score helps predict which patients can go home the same day after gallbladder surgery. This improves day-case cholecystectomy rates by better assessing patients before their operation.
Area of Science:
- Surgical outcomes
- Health services research
- Predictive analytics in medicine
Background:
- Day-case surgery offers significant patient and cost advantages.
- Currently, only 43% of cholecystectomy patients are discharged the same day.
- Improved patient assessment may increase day-case cholecystectomy rates.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify preoperative predictors of same-day discharge after cholecystectomy.
- To develop and validate a risk score for failed day-case cholecystectomy.
- To improve the rate of successful day-case cholecystectomies.
Main Methods:
- Data from 7426 elective cholecystectomies in the UK and Ireland (CholeS study) were analyzed.
- Multivariate logistic regression identified preoperative predictors for a risk score.
- Receiver operating curve analysis validated the score in a separate dataset.
Main Results:
- 49% of patients were discharged the same day.
- Older age, higher ASA scores, complicated gallstones, male gender, prior admissions, and endoscopic intervention reduced same-day discharge likelihood.
- The developed CAAD score accurately predicted successful day-case surgery (≤5 score) versus failed ( >5 score).
Conclusions:
- The CAAD score effectively predicts same-day discharge after cholecystectomy.
- The score utilizes readily available clinical data.
- Implementation of the CAAD score can potentially increase day-case cholecystectomy rates.
Background:
Day-case surgery is associated with significant patient and cost benefits. However, only 43% of cholecystectomy patients are discharged home the same day. One hypothesis is day-case cholecystectomy rates, defined as patients discharged the same day as their operation, may be improved by better assessment of patients using standard preoperative variables.
Methods:
Data were extracted from a prospectively collected data set of cholecystectomy patients from 166 UK and Irish hospitals (CholeS). Cholecystectomies performed as elective procedures were divided into main (75%) and validation (25%) data sets. Preoperative predictors were identified, and a risk score of failed day case was devised using multivariate logistic regression. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to validate the score in the validation data set.
Results:
Of the 7426 elective cholecystectomies performed, 49% of these were discharged home the same day. Same-day discharge following cholecystectomy was less likely with older patients (OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.15-0.23), higher ASA scores (OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.15-0.23), complicated cholelithiasis (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.48), male gender (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.58-0.74), previous acute gallstone-related admissions (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.48-0.60) and preoperative endoscopic intervention (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.34-0.47). The CAAD score was developed using these variables. When applied to the validation subgroup, a CAAD score of ≤5 was associated with 80.8% successful day-case cholecystectomy compared with 19.2% associated with a CAAD score >5 (p < 0.001).
Conclusions:
The CAAD score which utilises data readily available from clinic letters and electronic sources can predict same-day discharges following cholecystectomy.
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