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Peste des petits ruminants in China: Spatial risk analysis
Jun Ma1, Xiang Gao1, Boyang Liu1
1Department of Veterinary Surgery, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Abstract:
During the period spanning November 2013 to November 2018, 294 outbreak cases of PPR were diagnosed. Spatio-temporal cluster analysis was performed to determine whether or not areas and time periods with significant aggregation of PPR outbreaks occurred. High-risk areas for PPR outbreaks in China were detected using the presence-only maximum entropy ecological niche model. The analysis identified three statistically significant disease clusters. Precipitation of driest month was identified as the most important predictor for PPRV occurrence.
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