On the role of different age groups during pertussis epidemics in California, 2010 and 2014

A S Mahmud1, M Lipsitch1, E Goldstein1

  • 1Department of Epidemiology,Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics,Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health,677 Huntington Ave.,Boston, MA 02115,USA.

Insights

Older adolescents increasingly drove pertussis (whooping cough) outbreaks in California after acellular vaccine introduction. Booster pertussis vaccination for this age group may curb future epidemics.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Infectious Disease Transmission
  • Vaccinology

Background:

  • Pertussis (whooping cough) outbreaks pose a public health concern.
  • Understanding age-specific transmission dynamics is crucial for effective control strategies.
  • The impact of acellular pertussis vaccines on transmission patterns across different age groups requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the roles of different age groups in propagating pertussis outbreaks.
  • To analyze temporal changes in these roles following the introduction of acellular pertussis vaccines.
  • To identify key age demographics for targeted intervention during pertussis epidemics.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the relative risk (RR) statistic to assess the proportion of cases in different age groups before and after epidemic peaks.
  • Analyzed data from the 2010 and 2014 pertussis epidemics in California.
  • Compared transmission roles across various age strata, including children and adolescents.

Main Results:

  • In the 2010-11 epidemic, transmission roles were relatively weak across age groups, with minor peaks in younger adolescents.
  • The 2014 epidemic demonstrated a significant role for older adolescents (14-19 years) in pertussis transmission (RR 1.83 for 14-15 years).
  • A temporal trend showed an increasing contribution of older adolescents to transmission over time since acellular vaccine introduction.

Conclusions:

  • Older adolescents have become increasingly important in propagating pertussis outbreaks.
  • Current vaccination strategies may need enhancement to address transmission by older adolescents.
  • Booster pertussis vaccination for older adolescents is recommended to mitigate future epidemics.

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