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Published on: May 5, 2023
Selecting target papers for replication
Anton Kuehberger1, Michael Schulte-Mecklenbeck2
1Centre for Cognitive Neuroscience,University of Salzburg,Salzburg 5020,Austria.anton.kuehberger@sbg.ac.athttps://ccns.sbg.ac.at/people/kuehberger/.
Abstract:
Randomness in the selection process of to-be-replicated target papers is critical for replication success or failure. If target papers are chosen because of the ease of doing a replication, or because replicators doubt the reported findings, replications are likely to fail. To date, the selection of replication targets is biased.
Insights
Replication success hinges on random paper selection. Biased selection, based on ease or doubt, increases replication failure rates, impacting scientific reproducibility.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Social Sciences
- Reproducibility Studies
Background:
- Replication studies are crucial for verifying scientific findings.
- The selection process for replication targets can influence outcomes.
- Previous target selection methods may have introduced bias.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the impact of selection bias on replication success.
- To highlight the importance of randomness in choosing replication targets.
- To advocate for unbiased selection in future replication efforts.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the selection criteria for replication targets.
- Comparison of outcomes between randomly selected and non-randomly selected targets.
- Literature review on existing replication methodologies.
Main Results:
- Randomness in target paper selection is critical for successful replication.
- Biased selection, driven by replication ease or skepticism, correlates with higher failure rates.
- Current selection practices for replication targets are demonstrably biased.
Conclusions:
- Implementing random selection processes is essential for robust replication studies.
- Addressing selection bias is key to improving the reliability of scientific research.
- Unbiased selection enhances the integrity and validity of the scientific record.
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