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Disentangling monitoring programs: design, analysis, and application considerations
William M Janousek1, Beth A Hahn2,3, Victoria J Dreitz1
1Avian Science Center and Wildlife Biology Program, Department of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences, W.A. Franke College of Forestry and Conservation, University of Montana, 32 Campus Drive, Missoula, Montana, 59812, USA.
Conservation monitoring data can yield inconsistent results due to differing methods. Understanding sampling design is crucial for effective wildlife management and policy decisions.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Conservation Biology
- Wildlife Management
Background:
- Monitoring programs are vital for conservation but data interpretation challenges exist.
- Methods used in data collection significantly impact results and ecological inference.
- Conservation professionals face difficulties when selecting existing data for specific questions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare avian population trends from two large-scale monitoring programs.
- To highlight challenges in using existing monitoring data for conservation decisions.
- To assess the consistency of trend data between different monitoring programs.
Main Methods:
- Compared population trend trajectories from 2008-2015 for 148 species.
- Utilized publicly available data from the Breeding Bird Survey and Integrated Monitoring in Bird Conservation Regions programs.
- Focused analysis on data from Colorado, Montana, and Wyoming in the western United States.
Main Results:
- Inconsistent trends were found for 62% of species comparisons.
- Opposite population trends were observed for 21 species.
- Inconsistencies are attributed to differences in program sampling design and analytical approaches.
Conclusions:
- Awareness of monitoring program sampling design and ecological inference is essential for management and policy.
- Regular evaluation of monitoring methodologies is necessary to advance conservation science.
- Lessons from established programs inform the development of newer monitoring efforts.
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