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Published on: August 25, 2022
Increased glucose variability is associated with atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass
Kathleen C Clement1, Diane Alejo1, Joseph DiNatale1
1Department of Surgery, Division of Cardiac Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Insights
Postoperative glucose variability and high mean glucose levels after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) increase the risk of atrial fibrillation. Preoperative hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is not a significant predictor after accounting for these factors.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Metabolic Syndrome
Background:
- Elevated preoperative hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) predicts poor outcomes in coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
- The impact of postoperative glucose variability (GV) on outcomes after CABG remains unclear.
- This study investigates the association between short-term postoperative GV and atrial fibrillation risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if short-term postoperative glucose variability (GV) is an independent predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after isolated CABG.
- To assess the relationship between mean glucose levels in the first 24 hours post-CABG and POAF.
- To evaluate the predictive value of preoperative HbA1c for POAF in the context of postoperative glucose control.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 2073 patients undergoing isolated CABG (January 2012-March 2018).
- Measurement of postoperative GV within the first 24 hours using standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and mean amplitude of glycemic excursions.
- Multivariate logistic regression models were employed to identify independent predictors of POAF.
Main Results:
- Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) occurred in 446 patients (21.5%).
- Increased 24-hour GV was significantly associated with a higher risk of POAF (OR=1.16, P<0.01).
- Elevated 24-hour mean glucose also independently predicted POAF (OR=1.14, P<0.01), with a 16% and 14% increased risk for every 10% GV and 10 mg/dL mean glucose increase, respectively.
Conclusions:
- Increased 24-hour glucose variability and mean glucose are significant predictors of atrial fibrillation following CABG.
- Preoperative HbA1c did not predict POAF when postoperative glucose metrics were considered.
- Further research is warranted to explore strict glucose control strategies to mitigate adverse events post-CABG.
Background:
Elevated preoperative hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is a predictor of poor outcomes following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), but the role of increased postoperative glucose variability (GV) is unknown. We hypothesized that short-term postoperative GV is associated with an increased risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation following isolated CABG.
Methods:
Multicenter retrospective study of 2073 patients who underwent isolated CABG from January 2012 to March 2018. Postoperative GV in the first 24 hours was measured by standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and mean amplitude of glycemic excursions. Multivariate logistic regression assessed the independent association of GV with postoperative atrial fibrillation.
Results:
A total of 2073 patients met the study criteria, and 446 patients (21.5%) developed postoperative atrial fibrillation. Using multivariate logistic regression to adjust for covariates, postoperative atrial fibrillation was associated with increased 24-hour GV (odds ratio [OR] = 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.27, P < 0.01) and increased 24-hour mean glucose (OR = 1.14, 95% CI, 1.08-1.21, P < 0.01). Thus, for every 10% increase in 24-hour GV or 10 mg/dL increase in mean glucose, there was a 16% or 14% increased risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation respectively.
Conclusions:
Increased 24-hour GV and mean glucose are predictors of atrial fibrillation after CABG. Preoperative HbA1c is not a risk factor for postoperative atrial fibrillation after adjusting for postoperative mean glucose and GV. Further investigation is needed to determine the relationship between adherence to strict glucose control and adverse events following CABG.
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