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Published on: March 27, 2018
Does CHA2DS2-VASc Score Predict MACE in Patients Undergoing Isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Surgery?
Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu1, Semi Ozturk1, Mazlum Sahin2
1Haseki Training and Research Hospital Department of Cardiology Istanbul Turkey Department of Cardiology, Haseki Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
Insights
The CHA2DS2-VASc score can predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). This score offers valuable prognostic insight for CABG patients, aiding in risk stratification and clinical decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Cardiac Surgery
- Clinical Risk Stratification
Background:
- Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is a common procedure for severe coronary artery disease.
- Accurate prediction of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) post-CABG is crucial for patient management.
- The prognostic utility of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in isolated CABG patients remains to be fully elucidated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting MACE after isolated CABG surgery.
- To compare the predictive accuracy of CHA2DS2-VASc score with other established risk scores.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of 464 patients undergoing elective isolated CABG.
- Patients were stratified into low (<2) and high (≥2) CHA2DS2-VASc score groups.
- Univariate logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to assess MACE prediction.
Main Results:
- Higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores were associated with increased prevalence of comorbidities like hypertension and diabetes.
- Patients with high CHA2DS2-VASc scores exhibited significantly higher rates of in-hospital mortality and MACE.
- CHA2DS2-VASc score demonstrated strong specificity (84.1%) in predicting MACE, with comparable accuracy to SYNTAX II-CABG score.
Conclusions:
- The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a valuable and specific predictor of MACE in patients undergoing isolated CABG.
- This score can aid clinicians in risk stratification and optimizing perioperative management for CABG patients.
Objective:
To evaluate the prognostic value of CHA2DS2-VASc score in individuals undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.
Methods:
Records of consecutive 464 patients who underwent elective isolated CABG, between January 2015 and August 2017, were retrospectively reviewed. A major adverse cardiac event (MACE) was the primary outcome of this study. MACE in patients with low (L) (<2, n: 238) and high (H) (≤2, n: 226) CHA2DS2-VASc scores were compared. Univariate logistic regression analysis identified preditors of MACE.
Results:
Hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and peripheral vascular disease were more frequent in the H group than in the L group. European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) I and SYNTAX I scores were similar in both groups while SYNTAX II-CABG score was significantly higher in the H group than in the L group. Postoperative myocardial infarction, need for intra-aortic balloon pump, acute renal failure, and mediastinitis were more frequent in the H group than in the L group. The H group had significantly higher in-hospital mortality and MACE rates than the L group (P<0.01). EuroSCORE I, SYNTAX II-CABG, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were predictors for MACE. SYNTAX II-CABG > 25.1 had 68.4% sensitivity and 52.7% specificity (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.653, P=0.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.607-0.696) and CHA2DS2-VASc > 2 had 52.6% sensitivity and 84.1% specificity (AUC: 0.752, P<0.01, 95% CI: 0.710-0.790) to predict MACE. Pairwise comparison of receiver-operating characteristic curves revealed similar accuracy for both scoring systems.
Conclusion:
CHA2DS2-VASc score may predict MACE in patients undergoing isolated CABG.
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