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Factors Related to Pediatric Unintentional Burns: The Comparison of Logistic Regression and Data Mining Algorithms
Abbas Aghaei1, Hamid Soori2, Azra Ramezankhani3
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.
Insights
Unintentional pediatric burns are linked to socioeconomic factors and environment. Improving social welfare and home safety can significantly reduce childhood burn injuries.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Traumatology
- Data Mining in Healthcare
- Public Health
Background:
- Burn injuries are a significant global health concern, disproportionately affecting vulnerable pediatric populations.
- Identifying modifiable risk factors is crucial for effective prevention strategies in childhood burns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine key factors associated with unintentional burn injuries in children using advanced data mining techniques.
- To analyze the influence of socioeconomic and environmental variables on pediatric burn incidence.
Main Methods:
- A hospital-based case-control study was conducted in Kermanshah, Iran, over 15 months.
- Data mining algorithms including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Logistic Regression were employed.
- Frequency matching for age and sex was performed between pediatric burn cases and controls.
Main Results:
- The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm demonstrated superior performance in identifying risk factors.
- Key factors identified include Body Mass Index (BMI), socioeconomic status, parental age and education, household size, and petroleum storage.
- A significant correlation was found between burn incidence and social welfare indicators and environmental conditions.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric burn injuries are strongly associated with socioeconomic status and environmental factors.
- Interventions aimed at improving social welfare and home safety environments are essential for reducing childhood burn incidence.
Abstract:
Burn injuries are one of the traumas seen in all parts of the world and children are usually one of the vulnerable groups. The aim of this study was to determine the factors related to unintentional burns in children, using data mining algorithms. In this hospital-based case-control study conducted in Kermanshah province, Iran, data were collected over a period of 15 months. Children under the age of 15 years old who were referred to the burn ward of Imam Khomeini Hospital, the only burn referral in Kermanshah province, were included as cases. For the control group, children who were admitted to Dr. Mohammad Kermanshahi Hospital, the only specialist and subspecialist pediatric center in this province, were included. Frequency matching was performed for age and sex. Support vector machine, artificial neural network (ANN), random forest, and logistic regression were employed to determine the factors related to burns in children. The mean age of children with burn injuries was 4.29 ± 3.51 years and 58% of them were boys. The ANN algorithm had better performance than other algorithms. Body mass index (BMI), socioeconomic status, hours without a watchful, mother's age, mother's education, household size, father's job, father's age, having more than one watchful, and petroleum storage were the most important factors related to pediatric burns. The majority of the burn-related variables were related to individuals' social welfare status and their environments. Lessening the effects of these factors could reduce the incidence of pediatric burns.
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