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Clinical factors associated with peanut allergy in a high-risk infant cohort
Scott H Sicherer1, Robert A Wood2, Tamara T Perry3
1Department of Pediatrics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Insights
Early prognostication of peanut allergy (PNA) is possible. Key predictors in high-risk infants include lack of breastfeeding, younger age, and higher peanut-specific IgE levels, particularly Ara h2.
Area of Science:
- Allergy and Immunology
- Pediatric Allergy
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Prognostication of peanut allergy (PNA) is crucial for timely interventions in infants.
- This study focused on infants aged 3-15 months with suspected egg/milk allergy, atopic dermatitis (AD), and positive egg/milk skin prick tests (SPT), but no known PNA.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify baseline parameters predicting the development of PNA in a high-risk infant cohort.
- To develop a predictive model for PNA using early clinical and serologic markers.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 511 infants was followed for a median of 7.3 years to determine PNA development.
- Univariate and stepwise multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify prognostic factors.
- Data were stratified by PNA status and randomly assigned to development and validation datasets.
Main Results:
- 40.1% of participants developed PNA.
- Factors associated with PNA included younger age, increased AD severity, larger egg and peanut SPTs, higher specific IgE levels (peanut, Ara h1-h3), and increased peanut consumption during pregnancy/lactation.
- A multivariate model identified younger age, lack of breastfeeding, and greater peanut-specific IgE (especially Ara h2) as significant predictors.
Conclusions:
- Lack of breastfeeding, younger age at enrollment, and elevated peanut-specific IgE (Ara h2) are key prognostic factors for PNA in high-risk infants.
- The developed predictive model demonstrated good accuracy (AUC=0.83) in both development and validation datasets.
- These findings can aid in early risk stratification and intervention for peanut allergy.
Background:
Prognostication of peanut allergy (PNA) is relevant for early interventions. We aimed to determine baseline parameters associated with the development of PNA in 3- to 15-month-olds with likely egg and/or milk allergy, and/or moderate to severe atopic dermatitis (AD) and a positive egg/milk skin prick test (SPT), but no known PNA.
Methods:
The primary endpoint was PNA [confirmed/convincing diagnosis or last classified as serologic PNA (<2 years, ≥5 kUA/L, otherwise ≥14 kUA/L, peanut IgE)] among 511 participants (median follow-up, 7.3 years). Associations were explored with univariate logistic regression; factors with P < 0.15 were analyzed by stepwise multiple logistic regression, using data stratified by PNA status and randomly assigned to development and validation datasets.
Results:
205/511 (40.1%) had PNA. Univariate factors associated with PNA (P < 0.01) included increased AD severity, larger egg and peanut SPT, greater egg, milk, peanut, Ara h1-h3 IgE, higher peanut IgG and IgG4, and increased pregnancy peanut consumption. P-values were between 0.01 and 0.05 for younger age, non-white race, lack of breastfeeding, and increased lactation peanut consumption. Using a development dataset, the multivariate model identified younger age at enrollment, greater peanut and Ara h2 IgE, and lack of breastfeeding as prognosticators. The final model predicted 79% in the development and 75% in the validation dataset (AUC = 0.83 for both). Models using stricter or less strict PNA criteria both found Ara h2 as predictive.
Conclusions:
Key factors associated with PNA in this high-risk population included lack of breastfeeding, age, and greater Ara h2 and peanut-specific IgE, which can be used to prognosticate outcomes.
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