Predictive factors for persistent and late radiation complications in breast cancer survivors

With improved diagnostic techniques and treatments of breast cancer, overall survival times are longer, giving more opportunity for normal tissue complications of treatment to manifest. Radiation late effects (RLEs) could have profound long-term impacts on the quality of life of the survivors. The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors influencing timing and types of complications in patients referred to the Adult Radiation Late Effects Clinic (ARLEC).

In a period of 16 years, 296 breast cancer patients were referred to the ARLEC. The clinical records were retrospectively studied to collect epidemiologic, medical and treatment data. Associations were sought between candidate predictive factors and time to the first complication after radiation treatment (RT) completion (primary outcome), and pain or swelling (secondary outcomes) using univariable and multivariable linear and logistic regression analyses. All analyses were performed in SAS, version 9.4.

All patients were female with a mean age of 56.3 years. The first treatment-related complication occurred after a median of 3 months. Patients were followed at ARLEC for a median of 18 months. Older age and delay from surgery to RT (S-RT delay) were associated with earlier onset of complications (both p < 0.001). The most common complications were breast pain (62.1%) and swelling (45.9%). Histology and RT boost were associated with pain (p = 0.035 and 0.013). RT boost and S-RT delay on the other hand were associated with swelling (p = 0.013 and 0.005).

Clinical factors identified could help recognize the patients at high risk for developing RLEs and alert physicians to initiate earlier diagnostic and therapeutic measures.