[Valvular replacement for isolated aortic stenosis. Predictive value of the preoperative cardiac index in survival]

The immediate and long-term results of aortic valve replacement for pure or predominant aortic valve stenosis were evaluated in 186 patients operated upon since 1975 and followed for up to 10 years. This population fell into two groups depending on whether the pre-operative cardiac index was superior (group I, n = 111) or inferior (group II, n = 75) to 2.3 l/min/m2. There was no significant difference between the two groups as regards the immediate (i.e. within 30 days) post-operative mortality rate (6.6% vs 8.1% respectively). In contrast, the cardiac index proved to be a significant post-operative prognostic factor in aortic stenosis, since the probability of survival at 5 years was 96.4% in group I and only 71.7% in group II (p less than 0.001). This high rate of mortality in group II was exclusively due to myocardial dysfunction (sudden deaths included) in these patients with low cardiac index. When late mortality was analyzed according to age (over or below 60 years) and to pre-operative cardiothoracic ratio (over or below 50), these two criteria also proved to be significant prognostic factors. However, considering the poor prognosis of unoperated aortic stenosis, these long-term results in group II should encourage surgical treatment in many cases, even those with advanced cardiopathy.