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Cervical cancer prevention in Morocco: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis
Wadie Messoudi1, Toufik Elmahi1, Chakib Nejjari2
1Laboratory of Coordination of Studies and Research in Analysis and Economic Forecast, Faculty of Law, Economics and Social Sciences, Université Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah , Fez , Morocco.
Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is highly effective and cost-effective for preventing cervical cancer in Morocco. While current screening offers some benefit, HPV vaccination alone or in combination with screening provides superior long-term health outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Oncology
- Health Economics
Background:
- Cervical cancer is a significant public health concern in Morocco, ranking as the second most frequent and fatal cancer among women.
- Economic assessments are crucial for evaluating the implementation of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine, considering existing screening practices.
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct a country-specific economic assessment of HPV vaccination and current cervical cancer screening practices in Morocco.
- To evaluate the long-term health benefits and costs associated with HPV vaccination and visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) screening.
Main Methods:
- A Markov model was developed and calibrated to Moroccan cervical cancer incidence data.
- The model simulated the natural history of HPV and cervical cancer to compare costs and health outcomes (Years of Life Saved - YLS) of different interventions.
- Cost data from public healthcare perspectives were utilized, with costs and outcomes discounted at 3%.
Main Results:
- Current screening (VIA every 3 years, 10% coverage) is projected to reduce lifetime cervical cancer risk by 14% at US$551/YLS.
- HPV vaccination (70% coverage) is projected to reduce risk by 62% at US$1,150/YLS.
- Combining HPV vaccination with screening yields a 69% reduction at US$2,843/YLS, but vaccination alone becomes more cost-effective than screening when coverage exceeds 15%.
Conclusions:
- HPV vaccination presents a highly effective and cost-effective strategy for cervical cancer prevention in Morocco.
- Current screening offers value for money compared to no intervention, but its efficiency diminishes relative to vaccination at higher coverage levels.
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