Comprehensive Analysis Reveals a 4-Gene Signature in Predicting Response to Temozolomide in Low-Grade Glioma Patients

Low-grade gliomas (LGGs) are a highly heterogeneous group of slow-growing, lethal, diffusive brain tumors. Temozolomide (TMZ) is a frequently used primary chemotherapeutic agent for LGGs. Currently there is no consensus as to the optimal biomarkers to predict the efficacy of TMZ, which calls for decision-making for each patient while considering molecular profiles. Low-grade glioma data sets were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Cox regression and survival analyses were applied to identify clinical features significantly associated with survival. Subsequently, Ordinal logistic regression, co-expression, and Cox regression analyses were applied to identify genes that correlate significantly with response rate, disease-free survival, and overall survival of patients receiving TMZ as primary therapy. Finally, gene expression and methylation analyses were exploited to explain the mechanism between these gene expression and TMZ efficacy in LGG patients. Overall survival was significantly correlated with age, Karnofsky Performance Status score, and histological grade, but not with IDH1 mutation status. Using 3 distinct efficacy end points, regression and co-expression analyses further identified a novel 4-gene signature of ASPM, CCNB1, EXO1, and KIF23 which negatively correlated with response to TMZ therapy. In addition, expression of the 4-gene signature was associated with those of genes involved in homologous recombination. Finally, expression and methylation profiling identified a largely unknown olfactory receptor OR51F2 as potential mediator of the roles of the 4-gene signature in reducing TMZ efficacy. Taken together, these findings propose the 4-gene signature as a novel panel of efficacy predictors of TMZ therapy, as well as potential downstream mechanisms, including homologous recombination, OR51F2, and DNA methylation independent of MGMT.